Q J Med 2002; 95: 397-403
© 2002 Association of Physicians
Commentaries |
Is atherosclerosis caused by high cholesterol?
Introduction
According to the low-density-lipoprotein (LDL) receptor hypothesis, development of atherosclerosis is caused by a high concentration of LDL-cholesterol in the blood, and lowering LDL-cholesterol reverses, or at least retards, atherosclerosis, thus preventing cardiovascular disease.1 As a scientific hypothesis, it is open to falsification: if the concentration of LDL-cholesterol or total cholesterol and the degree of atherosclerosis do not correlate, or if there is no exposure-response, e.g. if there is no association between the cholesterol changes (
LDL-cholesterol or
total cholesterol) and atherosclerosis progression.
The successful statin trials, with their substantial reduction of LDL-cholesterol seemed to confirm the LDL receptor hypothesis, but their outcome was independent of the initial cholesterol concentration and the degree of its lowering. For instance, the p values for the relationships between the outcome, and the percentage or the absolute change in LDL cholesterol, as calculated in one of the trial reports,2 were 0.76 and 0.97, respectively.
Cholesterol does not predict degree of atherosclerosis at autopsy
Cholesterol does not correlate with degree of coronary atherosclerosis on angiography
Cholesterol does not correlate with degree of coronary calcification
Cholesterol does not correlate with degree of peripheral atherosclerosis
No exposure-response
Objections
Why does a high cholesterol predict cardiovascular disease?
Conclusion
Notes
References
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